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Retirement Planning
Planning for retirement should be approached as an ongoing rather than a one-time event process. Ideally, you should start early in your working career: the sooner you start saving for retirement, the more time your investments have to grow by compounding. But, it is never too late to start planning. Whether you are age 25 or age 60, it will be to your benefit to do some basic retirement planning. The following notes only scratch the surface of what is involved in a comprehensive retirement plan. Use these notes, resources, and links to get started on this important matter.
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Planning Notes:
Financial planning has to do with quantifying in terms of specific
times and specific dollar amounts where you are, where you want to
go, and how you propose getting to where you want to go. For retirement
planning, here are the basic steps:
Step A -- Present circumstances: Evaluate and
document your present circumstances
Step B -- Goals and assumptions: Set income goals
during retirement and assumptions about inflation and investment returns
Step C -- Devise action plan: Determine what
actions are required to go from your existing circumstances in documented
step A to the desired goals specified in step B.
Step D -- Implement action plan: Act, save, invest!
Step E -- Monitor and revise: Periodically review
progress and return to step B
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Step A - Present Circumstances may be the hardest for most people.
To get a complete picture of your present circumstances, you have to gather
your personal financial information and organize it:
You will want to collect information on your anticipated retirement income
from Social Security, the Pension Plan, and any other pension plans which
may apply. Social Security is now sending out annual estimates of your
future benefits. You can also click here to get a "quickie"
estimate of your Social Security benefit. To get an idea of your benefits
under this Pension Plan, contact the
Plan Office with a request for an estimate of the benefit
you have already earned.
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Step B - Goals and Assumptions presents another difficulty. To set
goals realistically, you need to set two specific goals and make three
assumptions about the future.
GOALS:
1. State the specific month and year when you want to retire,
2. State in current after tax dollars what your expenses are likely
to be (don't forget travel, hobbies, kids, grandkids, medical expenses,
and long-term care costs).
A rule of thumb used to be that you need 60%-80% of your current income
to maintain the same lifestyle in retirement. Many planners are now suggesting
a higher percentage, due to a variety of factors: retirees are more active
(spend more money) than in previous generations, medical inflation rates
continue to outpace general inflation rates, and long term care needs
are not anticipated to be met by family or the government.
And look in your crystal ball to foresee:
ASSUMPTIONS:
3. how long you (and your spouse) will live in retirement,
4. how much your investments will earn,
5. what inflation will be.
Be careful, unrealistic assumptions will usually yield wacky results.
Most planners use conservative assumptions based on long-term historical
rates. For example, they might use 4% as an assumption for the annual
inflation rate, 10% as the investment return for stocks, and 6% investment
returns for bonds. These assumptions work O.K. for long-range planning,
but they are worthless for time horizons of under 5 years. The longer
the period which is being estimated, the more accurate these assumptions
can be expected to turn out. If your estimates produce unrealistic results,
go back and review your assumptions.
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Step C - Make a Plan requires a lot of number crunching. In this step
you take all the numbers showing where you are, calculate all the savings/investment
buildup until retirement, and calculate all the spending during retirement
for the length of your expected lifespan.
It is possible to work out rough estimates with pencil and paper. If
you are so inclined, you might create an Excel spreadsheet. Some people use an online retirement planner such as is available form Schwab,
Vanguard, Fidelity, and many
other financial websites. But beware, the planning software on these sites
will often produce widely different results. This is because they ask
you to input your information and assumptions in differing ways; each
planning software also has its own assumptions which are not always
apparent to the user. You may also want to get the help of a financial
planning professional. Fitting
together the probable outcomes based on all this input is an area to which
you will want to dedicate some considerable attention.
Your calculations should result in a number -- how much to save each
month, and an asset allocation -- what investments to put your savings
into. That is your action plan.
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Step D - Save and Invest is easy!
Start (or continue) saving.
Reallocate your existing investments and make new investments based on
the asset allocation you have determined.
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Step E - Monitor and Revise
At least annually, review your progress towards your goals.
Reevaluate your current circumstances as applicable.
See how well the chosen assumptions fit real life results.
Consider rebalancing your investments to maintain your asset allocation.
Make changes to your assumptions and plans as necessary.
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BONUS STEP -- ONGOING EDUCATION
As the world changes, so does the standard thinking regarding retirement
planning. From Money and all the other financial magazines, the Wall Street
Journal, hundreds of financial websites, and self-help financial books,
there are vast resources available to you. As the economy changes, your
Pension Plan changes, Social Security and Medicare rules change, stay
informed. This will allow you to take your best shot at arranging for
a comfortable retirement.
You can check out this publication, a Financial
Warmup, offered by the Department of Labor and the CFP Board as a
starting point for your research.
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